Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.97%) and 0-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (3%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
9.4% (![]() | 15.66% (![]() | 74.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.57% (![]() | 37.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.34% (![]() | 59.65% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.08% (![]() | 46.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.58% (![]() | 82.42% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.54% (![]() | 8.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.65% (![]() | 29.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 3% (![]() 2-1 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 9.4% | 1-1 @ 7.42% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.66% | 0-2 @ 12.1% (![]() 0-3 @ 9.97% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.8% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.38% Total : 74.93% |
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