European Under-19s Championship | Semi-Finals

Jul 25, 2024 at 2pm UK

Windsor Park

Italy U19s
0 - 1
Spain U19s

Camarda (10'), Lipani (69'), Romano (114'), Mannini (114')

FT
(aet)

Fortuny Aubareda (100')
Fortuny Aubareda (90+1'), Bravo Solanilla (114'), Jimenez Latorre (120+1'), Carvallho Vianna (120+2'), Carvallho Vianna (120+120')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-19s Championship clash between Italy Under-19s and Spain Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Under-19s

All competitions

European Under-19s Championship

Last Game: Ukraine U19s 3-2 Italy U19s
Sunday, July 21 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal Under-19s	3	7	9
2	Italy Under-19s	3	0	4
3	Poland Under-19s	3	0	4
4	Malta Under-19s	3	-7	0

Spain Under-19s

All competitions

European Under-19s Championship

Last Game: Spain U19s 2-2 France U19s
Monday, July 22 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Under-19s	3	6	7
2	Norway Under-19s	3	1	5
3	Iceland Under-19s	3	-1	2
4	Greece Under-19s	3	-6	1

We say: Italy Under-19s 2-1 Spain Under-19s (after extra time)

Equally capable of scoring multiple goals, an absorbing contest between two giants of European youth football awaits: these well-matched teams may need extra time to decide who advances to Sunday's final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-19s win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Italy Under-19s had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-19s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Italy Under-19s win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%).

Result
Italy Under-19s	Draw	Spain Under-19s
28.68%	25.73%	45.59%

Both teams to score 52.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.81%

51.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.97%

73.03%

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72%

32.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22%

68.78%

Spain Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58%

22.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05%

55.94%

Score Analysis

Italy Under-19s 28.68%

Spain Under-19s 45.59%

Draw 25.72%

Italy Under-19s	Draw	Spain Under-19s
1-0 @ 8.18% 2-1 @ 6.92% 2-0 @ 4.63% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.68%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-3 @ 4.03% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.59%