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European Under-21s Championship | Quarter-finals
May 31, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
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Spain U21s
2 - 1
Croatia U21s

Puado (66', 110')
Mingueza (88'), Guillamon (90+3')
FT
(aet)
Ivanusec (90+4' pen.)
Musa (43'), Sutalo (63'), Bradaric (87'), Ivanusec (120+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Croatia Under-21s had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Croatia Under-21s win it was 0-1 (7.25%).

Result
Spain Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
55.9%24.92%19.17%
Both teams to score 44.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81%56.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76%77.24%
Spain Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93%20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7%52.3%
Croatia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.13%43.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99%80.02%
Score Analysis
    Spain Under-21s 55.89%
    Croatia Under-21s 19.17%
    Draw 24.92%
Spain Under-21sDrawCroatia Under-21s
1-0 @ 14.13%
2-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 5.01%
4-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 55.89%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-2 @ 4.8%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 19.17%

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