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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 9, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Rasundastadion

Sweden U21s
4 - 0
Luxembourg U21s

Karlsson (22' pen., 33'), Svensson (31'), Beijmo (72')
Erlingmark (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bernardy (22'), Schaus (58'), D'Anzico (88')
Dublin (19')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Sweden Under-21s and Luxembourg Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Under-21s win with a probability of 74.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Luxembourg Under-21s had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Luxembourg Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Sweden Under-21sDrawLuxembourg Under-21s
74.7%15.44%9.86%
Both teams to score 51.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.28%34.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.32%56.68%
Sweden Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.14%7.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.14%27.86%
Luxembourg Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.9%44.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.8%80.2%
Score Analysis
    Sweden Under-21s 74.69%
    Luxembourg Under-21s 9.86%
    Draw 15.44%
Sweden Under-21sDrawLuxembourg Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.21%
3-0 @ 9.51%
2-1 @ 9.18%
1-0 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 7.78%
4-0 @ 6.05%
4-1 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 3.19%
5-0 @ 3.08%
5-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 2.03%
6-0 @ 1.3%
6-1 @ 1.07%
5-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 74.69%
1-1 @ 7.22%
2-2 @ 3.76%
0-0 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 15.44%
1-2 @ 2.96%
0-1 @ 2.84%
0-2 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 9.86%


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