Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Under-21s win with a probability of 74.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Luxembourg Under-21s had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Luxembourg Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Under-21s would win this match.