SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Under-21s | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Switzerland Under-21s | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Italy Under-21s | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Norway Under-21s | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Under-21s | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Switzerland Under-21s | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Italy Under-21s | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Norway Under-21s | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Switzerland Under-21s had a probability of 8.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.66%) and 0-3 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Switzerland Under-21s win it was 1-0 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Switzerland Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
8.71% ( 0.04) | 16.78% ( 0.03) | 74.51% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 41.56% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( 0.02) | 45.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( 0.02) | 67.42% ( -0.02) |
| Switzerland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.43% ( 0.12) | 53.56% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.99% ( 0.07) | 87% ( -0.07) |
| Italy Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.51% ( -0.01) | 10.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.86% ( -0.03) | 34.13% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Switzerland Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 8.71% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 16.78% | 0-2 @ 14.28% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 10.73% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 6.05% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.78% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 74.5% |
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