SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Under-21s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Italy Under-21s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway Under-21s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland Under-21s | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for France Under-21s had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest France Under-21s win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| France Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
24.14% ( 0.11) | 24.02% ( 0.01) | 51.85% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% ( 0.08) | 47.36% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% ( 0.08) | 69.58% ( -0.07) |
| France Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.14) | 33.9% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( 0.15) | 70.57% ( -0.14) |
| Italy Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( -0.01) | 18.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.7% ( -0.02) | 49.31% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| France Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.14% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.84% |
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