Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.