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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Feb 21, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin
DK

Desna
1 - 1
Dynamo Kiev

Budkivskyi (53')
Budkivskyi (9'), Imerekov (57'), Arveladze (69'), Bezborodko (84')
Bezborodko (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tsygankov (90+2' pen.)
Besedin (45+1'), Rodrigues (69'), Tsygankov (80'), (89')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Dynamo Kiev.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawDynamo Kiev
30.57%24.54%44.9%
Both teams to score 57.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87%45.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52%67.48%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54%63.47%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79%20.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47%52.53%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 30.57%
    Dynamo Kiev 44.9%
    Draw 24.53%
Desna ChernihivDrawDynamo Kiev
2-1 @ 7.35%
1-0 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.57%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-1 @ 9%
0-2 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 3.13%
1-4 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 44.9%

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