Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
