Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
