Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Desna Chernihiv in this match.
