Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.