Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.