SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 9.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.41%) and 0-3 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
9.55% ( -0.01) | 16.73% ( -0.02) | 73.71% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.22% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.86% ( 0.03) | 42.13% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.46% ( 0.04) | 64.54% ( -0.03) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.2% ( -0) | 49.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.48% ( -0) | 84.52% ( 0) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% ( 0.02) | 9.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.16% ( 0.04) | 32.83% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.77% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 9.55% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 16.73% | 0-2 @ 13.18% 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.08% ( 0)0-4 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.09% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.89% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 73.7% |
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