SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
48.48% ( -0.08) | 25.66% ( 0.03) | 25.86% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.34% ( -0.08) | 52.66% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( -0.07) | 74.3% ( 0.07) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( -0.06) | 21.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.09% ( -0.1) | 54.91% ( 0.1) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.7% ( 0) | 35.3% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.94% | 72.05% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.47% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.87% |
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