SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
57.16% ( 0.01) | 22.43% ( -0.01) | 20.41% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( 0.06) | 44.73% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( 0.06) | 67.09% ( -0.06) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( 0.02) | 15.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.77% ( 0.05) | 44.23% ( -0.05) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% ( 0.04) | 35.91% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% ( 0.04) | 72.68% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Metal Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.15% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.41% |
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