SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
25.62% ( -0.08) | 24.62% ( -0.06) | 49.76% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( 0.19) | 48.66% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( 0.17) | 70.78% ( -0.17) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( 0.03) | 33.35% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( 0.04) | 69.97% ( -0.04) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( 0.13) | 19.58% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.49% ( 0.22) | 51.51% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.62% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 49.75% |
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