SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 44.19% | 26.9% | 28.91% |
| Both teams to score 49.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% | 55.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% | 76.83% |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% | 25.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.28% | 59.73% |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% | 34.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.82% | 71.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.27% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.91% |
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