Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 1-0 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.