Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 15.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
