SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
37.39% ( 0.23) | 26.69% ( 0.06) | 35.91% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.87% ( -0.27) | 53.13% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( -0.23) | 74.7% ( 0.23) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( 0) | 27.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( 0) | 63.03% ( -0.01) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( -0.31) | 28.39% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( -0.39) | 64.14% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.91% |
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