SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
30.4% ( 0.7) | 27.63% ( 1.23) | 41.96% ( -1.93) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( -3.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.18% ( -4.39) | 57.81% ( 4.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.46% ( -3.59) | 78.54% ( 3.59) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( -1.78) | 34.47% ( 1.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( -1.95) | 71.18% ( 1.95) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( -2.99) | 27.18% ( 2.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( -4.07) | 62.59% ( 4.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 1.14) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.24% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 1.46)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.47)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.98) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.54)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.4)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.96% |
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