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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Chornomorets Stadium

Chornomorets
4 - 3
Rukh Lviv

Vanat (30'), Avagimian (38'), Tsitaishvili (57'), Tlumak (83')
Kucheruk (53'), Vanat (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martynyuk (67'), Fedorchuk (71', 79')
Martynyuk (40'), Sych (42'), Mysyk (83')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Rukh Lviv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chornomorets Odesa would win this match.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawRukh Lviv
37.41%26.98%35.6%
Both teams to score 50.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68%54.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3%75.7%
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.92%28.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26%63.74%
Rukh Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84%29.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9%65.1%
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 37.41%
    Rukh Lviv 35.6%
    Draw 26.98%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawRukh Lviv
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 37.41%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 35.6%

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