SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
66.78% ( 0.39) | 19.83% ( -0.21) | 13.38% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( 0.47) | 45.73% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( 0.44) | 68.05% ( -0.45) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.23% ( 0.25) | 12.77% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.95% ( 0.52) | 39.05% ( -0.53) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.76% ( 0) | 45.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.87% | 81.12% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 2-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.83% | 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 13.38% |
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