Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
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