SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
33.58% ( 0.23) | 27.52% ( -0.24) | 38.9% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.01% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% ( 0.95) | 56.64% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( 0.76) | 77.6% ( -0.75) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( 0.63) | 31.62% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% ( 0.72) | 68.02% ( -0.72) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( 0.47) | 28.33% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% ( 0.59) | 64.06% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.89% |
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