SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.32%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
14.53% ( 0.9) | 21.2% ( 0.41) | 64.27% ( -1.31) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( 0.15) | 49.09% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( 0.13) | 71.16% ( -0.13) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.39% ( 1.44) | 45.6% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.58% ( 1.1) | 81.41% ( -1.1) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( -0.36) | 14.57% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.36% ( -0.7) | 42.64% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.29% Total : 14.53% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.2% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 12.32% ( -0.4)1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 7.91% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.81% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 64.26% |
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