SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
38.59% ( 0.44) | 26.84% ( -0.03) | 34.56% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.16% ( 0.07) | 53.84% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% ( 0.06) | 75.3% ( -0.06) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.28) | 27.17% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( 0.37) | 62.57% ( -0.37) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( -0.22) | 29.58% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% ( -0.27) | 65.6% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.56% |
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