Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
0.27) 
-0.48) 
