SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Dnipro-1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Metal Kharkiv | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Chornomorets Odesa | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Minai | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Lviv | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Minai had a probability of 14.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Minai |
62.61% ( -0.54) | 22.4% ( 0.37) | 14.99% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 44.06% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( -1.07) | 52.95% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( -0.92) | 74.55% ( 0.92) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( -0.55) | 16.41% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.93% ( -1) | 46.07% ( 1.01) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.72% ( -0.39) | 47.28% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.3% ( -0.3) | 82.7% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Minai |
| 1-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.75% Total : 62.61% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 14.99% |
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