Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
-0.84) 
0.59) 
