Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.