Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minai win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minai win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.