Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
