SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
33.06% ( -0.05) | 28.02% ( 0.01) | 38.92% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.45% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.45% ( -0.05) | 58.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.88% ( -0.04) | 79.12% ( 0.04) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( -0.06) | 32.95% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( -0.07) | 69.53% ( 0.07) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0) | 29.24% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( -0) | 65.19% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.06% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 38.91% |
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