Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kolos Kovalivka in this match.
