Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.