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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Jul 11, 2020 at 3pm UK
Obolon' Arena

Kovalivka
0 - 2
Luhansk


Lysenko (44'), Bogdanov (62'), Chornomorets (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kochergin (9', 45+1')
Lednev (54'), Khomchenovskiy (64')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kolos Kovalivka and Zorya Luhansk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Kolos KovalivkaDrawZorya Luhansk
24.8%25.72%49.48%
Both teams to score 49.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.3%53.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82%75.18%
Kolos Kovalivka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22%36.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43%73.57%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27%21.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11%54.89%
Score Analysis
    Kolos Kovalivka 24.8%
    Zorya Luhansk 49.48%
    Draw 25.72%
Kolos KovalivkaDrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 7.99%
2-1 @ 6.1%
2-0 @ 4%
3-1 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.55%
3-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 24.8%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 12.2%
1-2 @ 9.31%
0-2 @ 9.31%
1-3 @ 4.74%
0-3 @ 4.74%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.81%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 49.48%


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