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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Feb 20, 2021 at 12pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium

Mariupol
0 - 1
Luhansk


Tankovskiy (60'), Chekh (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zahedi (34')
Zahedi (39'), Hladkyy (51'), Vasilj (90+3')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Zorya Luhansk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Mariupol win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
MariupolDrawZorya Luhansk
22.06%22.65%55.29%
Both teams to score 55.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36%43.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97%66.03%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.3%33.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64%70.36%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34%15.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3%44.7%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 22.06%
    Zorya Luhansk 55.29%
    Draw 22.65%
MariupolDrawZorya Luhansk
2-1 @ 5.79%
1-0 @ 5.74%
2-0 @ 3.12%
3-1 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 22.06%
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.07%
1-3 @ 6.1%
0-3 @ 5.61%
2-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.83%
0-4 @ 2.6%
2-4 @ 1.54%
1-5 @ 1.05%
0-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 55.29%

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