SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
67.69% ( -0.52) | 18.78% ( 0.21) | 13.52% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.3% ( -0.23) | 40.7% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% ( -0.24) | 63.09% ( 0.24) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.95% ( -0.2) | 11.05% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.6% ( -0.44) | 35.4% ( 0.44) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.14% ( 0.32) | 41.86% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.68% ( 0.27) | 78.32% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
| 2-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 67.69% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.78% | 0-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.52% |
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