SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
59.47% ( 0.37) | 22.46% ( -0.14) | 18.07% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( 0.21) | 48.21% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( 0.19) | 70.37% ( -0.19) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( 0.2) | 15.84% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.98% ( 0.36) | 45.02% ( -0.36) |
| LNZ Cherkasy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.52% ( -0.15) | 40.48% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.91% ( -0.14) | 77.09% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 59.46% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.07% |
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