Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 11.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.5%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Inhulets win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
