Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
