SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.45%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
13.64% ( 0.28) | 20.4% ( 0.13) | 65.96% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.08) | 47.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( 0.08) | 69.81% ( -0.08) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.98% ( 0.49) | 46.02% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.26% ( 0.38) | 81.74% ( -0.38) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( -0.1) | 13.59% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.29% ( -0.19) | 40.71% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.2% Total : 13.64% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.4% | 0-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 12.45% ( -0.13)1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 8.29% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.14% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 65.95% |
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