Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minai win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minai would win this match.