Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpik Donetsk win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.