SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
42.58% ( 0.04) | 28.43% ( 0.17) | 28.99% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.94% ( -0.64) | 61.06% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.96% ( -0.48) | 81.04% ( 0.48) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( -0.29) | 28.39% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.86% ( -0.36) | 64.13% ( 0.36) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% ( -0.52) | 37.31% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% ( -0.51) | 74.09% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.65% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.99% |
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