SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 47.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Veres had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Veres win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Obolon Kyiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Veres |
47.68% ( -2.17) | 27.53% ( 0.05) | 24.79% ( 2.12) |
| Both teams to score 44.5% ( 1.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.84% ( 1.31) | 60.16% ( -1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.64% ( 0.99) | 80.36% ( -0.99) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( -0.44) | 25.35% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( -0.61) | 60.13% ( 0.61) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% ( 2.8) | 40.4% ( -2.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.99% ( 2.44) | 77.01% ( -2.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Veres |
| 1-0 @ 14.05% ( -0.9) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.75)2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.52)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.3)Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.5)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.79% |
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