Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.