Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kolos Kovalivka would win this match.