Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
