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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 19
Mar 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Butovsky Vorskla Stadium

Vorskla
3 - 0
Olimpik Donetsk

Stepanyuk (13', 55'), Snurnitsyn (25' og.)
Kulach (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zotko (44')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Olimpik Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawOlimpik Donetsk
45.31%25.68%29%
Both teams to score 52.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16%50.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27%72.72%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6%22.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09%55.91%
Olimpik Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14%31.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7%68.3%
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 45.31%
    Olimpik Donetsk 29%
    Draw 25.68%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawOlimpik Donetsk
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.16%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29%

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